Vulnerability and Impact Assessment

SERDP and ESTCP efforts are developing region-specific tools and models to better predict climate change impacts, both to the natural features that protect coastal areas and to the built infrastructure.

Active Projects List
Project Title Start Date

Material Fluxes through Small River Systems on the Alaskan North Slope

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-1382
Principal Investigator: Dr. Shawn Gallaher, United States Naval Academy
SERDP Jan 2019

Hydrologic Risk Forecaster (Hydro RF): Demonstration and Validation of Forecasting Model for Flooding and Infrastructure Risk on Military Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-5082
Principal Investigator: Dr. Daniel Gambill, Engineering Research and Development Center-Construction Engineering Research Laboratory (ERDC-CERL)
ESTCP Jan 2019

Weather Effects on the Lifecycle of DoD Equipment Replacement (WELDER): A Plug-in for the BUILDER Sustainment Management System

Project Information
Project ID: RC19-5264
Principal Investigator: Dr. Peter Larsen, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
ESTCP Jan 2019

Integrating Remote Sensing and Field Measurements to Identify Environmental Nonstationarity on Interior Alaska DoD Training Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1486
Principal Investigator: Jennifer Watts, The Woods Hole Research Center
SERDP Mar 2018

Next-Generation Rainfall IDF Curves for the Virginian Drainage Area of Chesapeake Bay

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1569
Principal Investigator: Xixi Wang, Old Dominion University
SERDP Mar 2018

Determining the Temporal and Spatial Scales of Nonstationarity in Temperature and Precipitation across the Continental United States for a Given Emissions Scenario

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1577
Principal Investigator: Daniel Feldman, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
SERDP Mar 2018

Value and Resiliency of Ecosystem Services on Department of Defense (DoD) Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1605
Principal Investigator: Nate McDowell, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
SERDP Mar 2018

Research on the Efficacy of Applying a Supply Chain Paradigm and Economic Valuation Tools to Optimize Management Decision-Making and Enable Quantification of DoD Stewardship Value

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1615
Principal Investigator: Stephen Petron, CH2M HILL, Inc.
SERDP Mar 2018

A Multidisciplinary Assessment of Cross-Boundary Mitigation

Project Information
Project ID: RC18-1209
Principal Investigator: Liba Pejchar, Colorado State University
SERDP Jan 2018

Useful Prediction of Climate Extreme Risk for Texas-Oklahoma at 4-6 Years

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2709
Principal Investigator: Dr. Shih-Yu Wang, Utah State University
SERDP Jan 2017

Variation in Phenological Shifts: How do Annual Cycles and Genetic Diversity Constrain or Enable Responses to Climate Change?

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2702
Principal Investigator: Dr. Julie Heath, Boise State University
SERDP Jan 2017

Predicting the Persistence of Salamanders: Consequences of Phenological Shifts for Species of Management Concern on DoD Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2703
Principal Investigator: Dr. Katherine O'Donnell, United States Geological Survey
SERDP Jan 2017

Will Climate-Mediated Phenological Shifts Affect Population Viability? A test with Butterflies on Department of Defense Lands

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2700
Principal Investigator: Dr. Elizabeth Crone, Tufts University
SERDP Jan 2017

Exploring the Basis for Skillful Projections of Decision-Relevant Climate Normals

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2710
Principal Investigator: Dr. Russell Vose, National Centers for Environmental Information
SERDP Jan 2017

Understanding Species Persistence in Complex Landscapes with a Long-Term Metapopulation Study of Rare Flora

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2707
Principal Investigator: Dr. William Hoffmann, North Carolina State University
SERDP Jan 2017

Developing an Experimental Predictive Framework for Climate Regime Shifts and Their Impacts Within a 2-20 Year Outlook Window

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2711
Principal Investigator: Dr. Michael Alexander, NOAA
SERDP Jan 2017

Assessing White-nose Syndrome And Non-Stationary Changes On Bat Populations On And Near DoD Installations In The West

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2633
Principal Investigator: Dr. Sarah Olson, Wildlife Conservation Society
SERDP Jan 2016

Effects of Climate Change on Plague Exposure Pathways and Resulting Disease Dynamics

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2634
Principal Investigator: Dr. Tonie Rocke, USGS National Wildlife Health Center
SERDP Jan 2016

Leptospirosis in Endangered Island Foxes and California Sea Lions: Outbreak Prediction and Prevention in a Changing World

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2635
Principal Investigator: Dr. James Lloyd-Smith, University of California, Los Angeles
SERDP Jan 2016

Climate Changes Impacts on Fire Regimes, Plant Invasions, and Tick-Borne Diseases

Project Information
Project ID: RC-2636
Principal Investigator: Dr. Brian Allan, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
SERDP Jan 2016

NEW! SERDP Report:
Infrastructure Damage/Fragility Models and Data Quality Issues Associated with Department of Defense Climate Vulnerability and Impact Assessment (2015)
 

SERDP Report:
Assessing Impacts of Climate Change on Coastal Military Installations:
Policy Implications (2013)

 
NOAA Technical Report:
Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment (2012)
 

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